Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.012514 0.015274 0.018763 0.023607 0.030341 0.039671 0.054164
2025-02-23 0.009088 0.012107 0.016453 0.023511 0.035472 0.056734 0.102996
2025-03-02 0.007132 0.009989 0.014425 0.022378 0.037805 0.070946 0.168293
2025-03-09 0.005999 0.008721 0.013200 0.021889 0.040784 0.089145 0.285500
2025-03-16 0.005337 0.008021 0.012675 0.022400 0.046103 0.119502 0.574143
2025-03-23 0.004778 0.007369 0.012058 0.022469 0.050485 0.154416 1.216390
2025-03-30 0.004221 0.006625 0.011098 0.021465 0.051426 0.179430 2.328144
2025-04-06 0.003817 0.006091 0.010442 0.020954 0.053637 0.216633 5.841819
2025-04-13 0.003579 0.005825 0.010265 0.021561 0.060118 0.298798 44.831605
2025-04-20 0.003452 0.005748 0.010464 0.023225 0.072226 0.485318 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003292 0.005583 0.010439 0.024271 0.083210 0.764903 NaN
2025-05-04 0.003094 0.005316 0.010132 0.024385 0.090170 1.097055 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002885 0.005031 0.009806 0.024580 0.099811 1.821976 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002680 0.004735 0.009410 0.024467 0.108490 3.146674 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002453 0.004365 0.008768 0.023270 0.108609 4.336796 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002284 0.004099 0.008350 0.022753 0.113691 7.531766 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002176 0.003956 0.008220 0.023293 0.129292 25.058425 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002062 0.003786 0.007992 0.023366 0.141714 122.756686 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001921 0.003542 0.007526 0.022307 0.140767 373.552517 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001810 0.003359 0.007204 0.021768 0.145515 17672.186514 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001747 0.003277 0.007152 0.022408 0.167686 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001719 0.003273 0.007321 0.024163 0.215207 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001673 0.003222 0.007346 0.025269 0.261238 NaN NaN